The State of the Mind ยท Mind Economy

Mind Economy Indices

Alternative economic intelligence for the Global South

The Mind Economy Indices provide an experimental reading of how far macroeconomic statistics align with lived experience in large emerging and Global South economies. They link public data on growth, inflation, public finances and social spending with governance quality and youth outcomes.

The suite covers four dimensions โ€” HII (Human Intelligence Index), HPI (Human Priorities Index), FSI (Fiscal Stress Index) and YOS (Youth Opportunity Score). All are built from open sources (IMF, World Bank, ILO, UNESCO, WGI).

Why a "Mind Economy"?

Many emerging economies record respectable GDP growth yet report persistent frustration: strained household budgets, weak public services, limited formal employment for young people and low trust in institutions.

The Mind Economy approach starts from a simple proposition: if progress is genuine, it should show up not only in national accounts but in time, trust and opportunity. The indices treat social investment, fiscal resilience and youth transition as core economic variables.

Asia dominates economic management
Human Intelligence Index (HII), 2024, 0-100 scale
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia
69.0
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia
68.5
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India
65.2
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
63.2
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia
62.7
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand
62.1
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil
61.8
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Kenya
61.1
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia
59.9
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh
58.9
Source: The State of the Mind analysis of IMF WEO, World Bank WDI, WGI data

The Human Intelligence Index combines GDP growth, inflation control, current account balance and governance quality. Higher scores indicate better alignment between macroeconomic stability and institutional effectiveness.

African states prioritise social spending
Human Priorities Index (HPI), ratio of social to military expenditure, 2024
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Nigeria
10.00
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡น Ethiopia
9.38
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia
9.11
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
8.71
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand
8.47
๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam
8.03
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico
7.84
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt
7.29
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil
7.26
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey
6.68
Source: The State of the Mind analysis of World Bank WDI data (education, health, military expenditure)

HPI is calculated as (education + health spending) รท military spending. Higher values indicate sustained investment in human capability relative to defence expenditure.

Russia leads on youth employment
Youth Opportunity Score (YOS), 2024, 0-100 scale
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia
83.5
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
78.8
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Pakistan
74.9
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand
71.3
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia
70.5
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico
70.2
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia
67.6
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India
66.1
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina
63.9
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh
63.8
Source: The State of the Mind analysis of ILOSTAT and UNESCO UIS data (NEET, unemployment, education)

YOS measures education-to-employment transitions for young people (15-24). Higher scores indicate systems where youth move from schooling into stable, formal work more successfully.

China and Malaysia show lowest fiscal stress
Fiscal Stress Index (FSI), 2024, 0-100 scale (lower is better)
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China
25.5
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia
30.6
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ Philippines
35.3
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh
37.6
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico
40.0
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia
40.9
๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam
46.8
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Kenya
49.7
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt
51.9
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia
52.8
Source: The State of the Mind analysis of IMF Fiscal Monitor and World Bank WDI data (debt, deficit, reserves)

FSI combines government debt, fiscal balance, current account balance and foreign reserves. Higher values indicate greater vulnerability to funding or currency shocks.

Regional patterns reveal stark differences

Asia

HII 60.6
HPI 6.63
FSI 44.1
YOS 66.2

Africa

HII 48.2
HPI 7.72
FSI 57.5
YOS 35.6

Latin America

HII 51.6
HPI 6.35
FSI 57.5
YOS 65.3

Middle East

HII 49.8
HPI 4.70
FSI 53.9
YOS 56.6

Asia leads in economic management and youth outcomes. Africa prioritises social spending but faces higher fiscal stress and youth unemployment. Latin America shows mixed performance with elevated fiscal pressures.

Complete country rankings, 2024

Economy HII HPI FSI YOS
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡พ Malaysia 69.0 5.00 30.6 67.6
๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia 68.5 2.72 54.8 57.2
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ณ India 65.2 2.43 60.5 66.1
๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China 63.2 8.71 25.5 78.8
๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฉ Indonesia 62.7 9.11 52.8 70.5
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ญ Thailand 62.1 8.47 53.0 71.3
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ท Brazil 61.8 7.26 71.7 61.8
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ช Kenya 61.1 6.01 49.7 59.5
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Russia 59.9 3.14 40.9 83.5
๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฉ Bangladesh 58.9 6.32 37.6 63.8
๐Ÿ‡ฟ๐Ÿ‡ฆ South Africa 58.8 5.94 68.4 33.4
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ญ Philippines 57.1 6.50 35.3 44.3
๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ณ Vietnam 56.8 8.03 46.8 58.6
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡น Ethiopia 51.4 9.38 54.8 21.4
๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฐ Pakistan 50.5 5.13 55.2 74.9
๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ฝ Mexico 48.5 7.84 40.0 70.2
๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ท Argentina 44.6 3.94 60.8 63.9
๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ฌ Egypt 36.5 7.29 51.9 28.4
๐Ÿ‡ณ๐Ÿ‡ฌ Nigeria 33.2 10.00 62.5 35.6
๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey 31.2 6.68 53.0 56.1

Data compiled from IMF World Economic Outlook, World Bank World Development Indicators, ILOSTAT, UNESCO Institute for Statistics and Worldwide Governance Indicators (2024). For analytical use only.

Signature Indices

Experimental Framework

Mind Economy Indices

Four composite indices measuring how macroeconomic statistics align with lived experience across 20 Global South economies: Human Intelligence, Human Priorities, Fiscal Stress and Youth Opportunity.

Explore Full Rankings โ†’
Time-as-Value Experiment

Tin Tuna Index

Measuring how many minutes of work it takes to buy basic food in selected Global South economiesโ€”a different way to read inflation and dignity.

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Country Intelligence Series

UN46 Reports

Building the human file on 46 African and Global South economies where mainstream coverage is thin, but risk and institutional trust are decisive.

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ด Angola ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ซ Burkina Faso ๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฏ Benin
View Collection โ†’

How the indices work

HII ยท Human Intelligence Index

Weighted composite of GDP growth (30%), inflation control (25%), current account balance (20%) and governance quality (25%). Scaled 0-100.

HPI ยท Human Priorities Index

Simple ratio: (education % GDP + health % GDP) รท military % GDP. Higher values indicate greater social investment relative to defence.

FSI ยท Fiscal Stress Index

Equal-weighted composite of debt/GDP, fiscal balance, current account and reserves. Scaled 0-100, where higher = more stress.

YOS ยท Youth Opportunity Score

Weighted composite of NEET rate (30%), unemployment (30%), secondary completion (30%) and employment ratio (10%). Scaled 0-100.

Indicators are normalised (0-1), then combined using fixed weights. Composite scores are rescaled for readability. Full technical documentation available on request.

Data gaps and limitations

Coverage is strongest for large emerging markets in Asia, Latin America and parts of Africa. Youth NEET and secondary completion series remain patchy in several lower-income states and in parts of the Middle East and Sahel.

The indices simplify complex realities. They do not capture distribution within countries, nuances of informal labour markets or the political choices behind budget allocations. They are best read alongside detailed country work and household surveys.

The Mind Economy series will expand beyond the core 20 as reliable data become available. Future releases will include time series, sub-indices for African and Indian Ocean economies, and technical documentation for independent replication.

The State of the Mind ยท Mind Economy Indices ยท 2024