BRICS Expansion and the Commodity Axis

Published on 27 September 2025 at 06:32
Global Commodities

BRICS Expansion and the Commodity Axis

From Soybeans to Oil Barrels: How BRICS Controls the World's Staples
By Vayu Putra, BRICS Correspondent · 27 September 2025 · 10 min read
BRICS commodity production facilities
The expanded BRICS bloc now controls critical global supply chains

With new members admitted in 2024–25, BRICS is no longer a diplomatic talk shop. It has become a commodity superpower, controlling vast reserves of oil, gas, food, and critical minerals that keep the global economy running. The expansion from five to ten core members has created an economic bloc that dominates world production of essential materials—from the lithium in your phone to the wheat in your bread.

3.5B
Population After 2025 Expansion
43%
Global Oil Production Share
72%
Rare Earth Minerals
60%
Global Nickel Production

The Expansion

The transformation began in earnest at the 2023 Johannesburg summit, where BRICS opened its doors to new members for the first time since South Africa joined in 2010. The additions have been strategic, bringing both demographic weight and resource abundance that fundamentally alters global supply chain dynamics.

BRICS+ Expansion Timeline
2024 - First Expansion Wave
Egypt, Ethiopia, Iran, and UAE join as full members. Saudi Arabia invited but delays formal membership.
2025 - Southeast Asia Entry
Indonesia becomes the 10th member, adding 275 million people and massive nickel reserves.
2026 - Pipeline Candidates
Argentina, Algeria, and Nigeria in advanced discussions. Turkey and Malaysia express interest.
BRICS+ Member Countries & Strategic Resources
🇨🇳 China
Founding Member (2009)
🏭 Manufacturing Hub
🇷🇺 Russia
Founding Member (2009)
⛽ Energy Giant
🇮🇳 India
Founding Member (2010)
👥 Demographics
🇧🇷 Brazil
Founding Member (2010)
🌾 Agriculture
🇿🇦 South Africa
Founding Member (2010)
⛏️ Minerals
🇮🇷 Iran
Joined 2024
🛢️ Oil Reserves
🇦🇪 UAE
Joined 2024
💰 Finance Hub
🇪🇬 Egypt
Joined 2024
🚢 Suez Canal
🇪🇹 Ethiopia
Joined 2024
☕ Coffee
🇮🇩 Indonesia
Joined 2025
🔋 Nickel Leader
Founding Members
Joined 2024
Joined 2025

Indonesia's entry in 2025 was particularly significant, bringing the bloc's total population to 3.5 billion—nearly half of humanity. More importantly, it added the world's largest nickel reserves just as electric vehicle demand accelerates globally. The country produces over 50% of global nickel, essential for EV batteries.

Energy Dominance

The expanded BRICS bloc now represents an energy superpower that rivals traditional Western-dominated institutions. With Russia, Iran, UAE, and Brazil as major oil producers, plus China and India as the world's largest energy consumers, the group controls both supply and demand in global energy markets.

BRICS+ Energy Production vs. Consumption
Crude Oil Production 43.6%
Led by: Russia (10.5%), Saudi Arabia* (12.8%), Iran (4.7%), UAE (4.1%), Brazil (3.2%)
Natural Gas Production 35.8%
Led by: Russia (16.6%), Iran (6.8%), China (4.9%), UAE (2.3%)
Coal Production 68.2%
Led by: China (50.7%), India (9.9%), Indonesia (6.2%), Russia (1.4%)
Oil Consumption 33.4%
Led by: China (15.4%), India (5.0%), Russia (3.3%), Brazil (3.1%)
*Saudi Arabia invited but not yet formal member | Data: BP Statistical Review 2024

This creates a unique dynamic where major producers and consumers exist within the same bloc, potentially reducing dependence on global spot markets. Russia and Iran, facing Western sanctions, have already pivoted to serving China and India's growing energy needs. China now imports over 20% of its oil from Russia, paid for increasingly in yuan rather than dollars.

Minerals & Food

Beyond energy, BRICS+ dominance extends across critical minerals and agricultural commodities. The bloc's control over rare earth elements, essential for everything from wind turbines to smartphones, gives it leverage over global technology supply chains that Western nations are only beginning to understand.

🔋 Nickel
60%
Global Production Share
Leaders: Indonesia (52%), Russia (8%)
🌍 Rare Earths
72%
Global Production Share
Leaders: China (60%), Brazil (8%), Russia (4%)
🌾 Wheat
35%
Global Production Share
Leaders: China (17%), Russia (10%), India (8%)
🌽 Soybeans
55%
Global Production Share
Leaders: Brazil (36%), China (16%), India (3%)
☕ Coffee
38%
Global Production Share
Leaders: Brazil (35%), Ethiopia (3%)
💎 Diamonds
42%
Global Production Share
Leaders: Russia (23%), South Africa (12%), Brazil (7%)

The agricultural dimension is particularly significant. Brazil's emergence as a soybean superpower has challenged U.S. dominance in global protein markets, while Russia and India rank among the world's largest wheat producers. Combined with China's massive domestic consumption, BRICS+ countries could theoretically create closed-loop food systems that reduce dependence on traditional agricultural exporters.

Commodity Category BRICS+ Share Top 3 BRICS+ Producers Strategic Importance
Critical Minerals 65% China, Russia, Brazil Green technology transition
Energy Resources 44% Russia, Iran, UAE Economic sanctions resistance
Food Staples 38%

Add comment

Comments

There are no comments yet.