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Geopolitics Japan unveils “Indian Ocean–Africa Economic Zone” with $5.5B in loans; AI training for 30k Africans • Maritime India and Africa host inaugural AIKEYME naval drills, boosting interoperability • Minerals India advances 75,000 km² survey for polymetallic nodules in Central Indian Ocean Basin • Environment Debates heat up as ISA racing to finalize deep-sea mining code amid ecological concerns •
CategoryCommodityPriceUnitDate Key Producers (Indian Ocean)Reserves / OutputOutlook
Precious MetalsGold3,475.50 ▲USD/oz29 Aug 2025Tanzania ~40 tMinor shareSafe-haven demand firm
Precious MetalsPlatinum1,367.30USD/oz1 Sep 2025Minimal IO share SA dominantStable
Precious MetalsDiamonds—USD/caratAug 2025Madagascar artisanal ~100k ctTiny shareWeak demand
Base MetalsCopper4.51 (troy oz ≈ $9,600)USD/ton29 Aug 2025Ambatovy, Madagascar~30k t/yrFirm on EV demand
Base MetalsNickel~15,150USD/ton1 Sep 2025Madagascar~40k t/yrGrowing but volatile
Base MetalsGraphite680USD/ton31 Aug 2025Madagascar, Mozambique>30 Mt oreStrong battery demand
Base MetalsIlmenite/Zircon250–400USD/tonAug 2025QIT Madagascar750k t/yrStable
Rare EarthsNdPr, Dy, Tb65USD/kgAug 2025Madagascar, TanzaniaMt oreVolatile, China-dominated
SpecialtyColtan/Tantalum155USD/kg31 Aug 2025MadagascarMinimal vs DRCFirm demand
EnergyOil (Brent)67.39USD/bbl1 Sep 2025Exploration: Mozambique—Flat amid supply glut</td>
EnergyMozambique LNG≈11.22USD/MMBtu29 Aug 2025Mozambique ~13.1 MtpaExpandingStrong Asian demand
EnergyCoal135USD/tonLate Aug 2025Madagascar smallMinor shareDeclining
EnergyUranium87USD/lbLate Aug 2025Exploring MadagascarNone yetGrowing demand
AgricultureVanilla50-260 ▲USD/kgAug 2025Madagascar ~2,000 t (80% global)LeaderVolatile
AgricultureTea2.5-3.0USD/kgAug 2025Sri Lanka, Madagascar~300k t Sri LankaStable
AgricultureSugar0.22 ▼USD/lbAug 2025Mauritius ~300k tDecliningWeak
AgricultureCoconut/Copra1,250USD/tonAug 2025Sri Lanka, Maldives~1 MtStable
AgricultureSpices6,000-9,000USD/tonAug 2025Sri Lanka (cinnamon), Comoros (cloves)Niche strongFirm
AgricultureRice620USD/tonLate Aug 2025India, Madagascar2-3 MtFirm, monsoon risk
AgricultureWheat245USD/tonLate Aug 2025100% import for IO islandsDependent on Black SeaVolatile
FisheriesSkipjack Tuna2,240USD/tonLate Aug 2025Seychelles 430k, Mauritius 180kEU export hubStrong demand
FisheriesYellowfin Tuna2,800USD/tonLate Aug 2025IO fleetsOverfishedTight supply
FisheriesShrimp6-7USD/kgLate Aug 2025Madagascar ~15k tSmall but growingFirm exports
FisheriesSardines/Pelagics500-700USD/tonLate Aug 2025Mozambique, TanzaniaLocalStable
FisheriesPolymetallic Nodules——Aug 2025Exploration: Seychelles, Madagascar, IndiaHuge potentialSpeculative
CurrencyPairRateDateTrendOutlook
Mauritius RupeeUSD/MUR45.911 Sep 2025StableOffshore inflows steady; minor import cost pressure
Sri Lankan RupeeUSD/LKR≈302.0531 Aug 2025StableSupported by IMF inflows; remittances steady
Maldives RufiyaaUSD/MVR15.41Late Aug 2025StablePeg to USD firmly in place
Madagascar AriaryUSD/MGA4510 ▼27 Aug 2025DownImport cost stresses weigh on currency
Mozambican MeticalUSD/MZN63.861 Sep 2025StableLNG revenue inflows offer support
Tanzanian ShillingUSD/TZS2,575 ▼27 Aug 2025DownEnergy import costs strain reserves
Kenyan ShillingUSD/KES128.65 ▲27 Aug 2025UpCentral Bank support absorbs weak sentiment
Seychelles RupeeUSD/SCR13.78 ▼27 Aug 2025DownTourism softens FX inflows